Why I'm Filing Chapter 11
Friday, May 21, 2004
The Wall Street Journal
By David C. McCourt
Sometime in the next week or so, I anticipate that
one of my companies, the cable, phone and video provider,
RCN, will file for what is known in the business as
a consensual, pre-arranged Chapter 11 bankruptcy.
That hardly makes me unique. Since 2000, nearly 70
major telecom companies have filed for bankruptcy.
Hundreds, if not thousands, never even made it to
Chapter 11.
The prevailing wisdom on Wall Street is that these
bankruptcies and the whole telecom meltdown were the
inevitable result of too much capacity chasing insufficient
demand. In Washington, meanwhile, the White House
and lawmakers are worried that record-low phone rates
might begin to creep up. But by any measure, phone
competition has been a wild consumer success. Long
distance rates have plummeted over the last seven
years and the innovations of Voice-over-IP (VoIP)
promise still cheaper, better service.
Having built, bought, or started 10 telecom companies
in the last 25 years, I think both Wall Street and
Washington overlook the most persistent problem: The
cable industry remains in the grip of a monopoly mindset.
Despite all the innovation, the surge in new players,
and the billions of dollars lost since the passage
of the 1996 Telecom Act, cable rates have soared 40%
and the industry giants continue to think in terms
of how to dominate markets rather than how to drive
innovation. The bankruptcies that sidelined so many
upstart cable providers have effectively spared the
cable incumbents from facing competitive pressures
- at least for the moment.
Competition in both the voice and video sectors was
suppose to start after the passage of the Telecom
Act. The deployment of fiber-optic networks was also
critical because, when coupled with the Internet,
they instantly erased artificial barriers between
phone, cable and data service. Suddenly, one pipeline
to the home could potentially offer everything faster,
better and cheaper.
RCN was one of the "overbuilders" that
started constructing a fiber pipeline in densely populated
neighborhoods where competition was unknown. I believed
- and still do - that a new infrastructure to the
home was the critical step to creating a system that
can bundle and deliver every type of service that
consumers would want. Not just phone, cable and Internet,
but home security, energy monitoring and even appliance
diagnostics.
RCN's strategy depended on vast amounts of capital,
and a calculated bet that we could manage the balance
sheet and replace debt with equity. When the capital
markets suddenly shut down in the face of the stock
market collapse, that financial strategy was no longer
viable. But the calculated risk on the balance sheet
was never a bet on the business model itself.
That idea of building a network that could attract
multiple streams of revenue was drawn on the economics
I learned as a freshman in college. Those economic
principles dictated that if you have a network, you
want to make it as expansive as possible and that
if you own the content you want to deliver it over
as big a network and to as many people as possible.
Until 1996, the entire telecom industry operated
on exactly the opposite principle. The incumbents
depended on closed, proprietary systems guarded by
regulations and old technology. The strategy was like
building a road system that only goes to your store,
or a railroad that only goes to your town.
Desperate to survive, the phone companies changed
their ways quickly. They realized that the telephone
service was becoming a commoditized product, not a
business. So for the first time in over 100 years,
they started invading one another's markets to offer
additional services, lower prices and better service.
By contrast, the major cable companies still divide-and-rule
territory. When one company buys close to another,
the rivals simply exchange geographic service areas,
so that each side can expand their local fiefdoms
- the same business model championed by Tony Soprano.
The cable companies have also relied on closed, proprietary
technology to inhibit open competition. Rather than
let customers go to Radio Shack and buy a standardized
set-top box, they force you to rent their proprietary
converter boxes. Over the last five years, RCN has
had to spend nearly half a billion dollars replacing
proprietary equipment each time a customer switched
to our service.
Even more irritating to consumers is the way the
cable giants package their programming. This may be
the only business in the world in which you have to
purchase a product you don't want in order to get
the product you do. If you want to watch a ball game,
you are forced to buy the garden channel. If you want
to watch a movie, you're forced to buy kids' channels,
even though your kids may have left home long ago.
In some systems, cable operators own nearly 50% of
cable programming, so they have decided that consumers
are going to pay for it. Can you imagine if Wal-Mart
insisted that you buy a hairbrush when all you wanted
is a toothbrush? Or toilet paper when you only want
wallpaper?
Comcast's recent bid to acquire Disney would have
taken this anticompetitive approach one step further.
Had the merger plan taken-off - and if not this one,
other, similar mergers will - then Disney's content
would have been harder to get, more expensive, or
less convenient to find for any consumer not part
of the Comcast family.
Fortunately, the telecom story is not over. For many
telecom companies - including my own - bankruptcy
is not the end, but a new lease on life. I believe
that the wave of bankruptcy filings will help launch
a new era in telecom. Over the next year or two, I
suspect we will see many companies re-emerging from
bankruptcy, now in a much better position to compete
without the dead weight of debt on their back. These
may well be the companies that bring Voice-over-IP
technology to the cable world, creating "Video-over-IP"
competitors who change the way customers bring television
into their homes. That possibility should worry today's
cable giants who have been ignoring the logic of economics,
the possibilities of technology and the interests
of consumers for far too long.
Mr. McCourt is chairman and CEO of RCN Corporation.
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